At their current rate, killings in New York City would end 2015 as either the third or fourth lowest year in the city's modern history.On the subject on Zimring, I always show this 9-minute Vera talk on why crime went down in the 1990s. It's the best 9 minutes you'll ever hear on the subject.
"Ferguson Effect"? Doesn't look like it.
To a student of crime data, this sounds much more like white noise than a blaring siren.
There are real increases in violence in Baltimore, Maryland in recent weeks and perhaps in St. Louis, but making that into a national crime wave deserves an Olympic medal for jumping to conclusions.
Why Mac Donald's fearful haste?
June 7, 2015
Is there a new crime wave?
"Don't bet on it," say Frank Zimring in the NY Daily News. I could not have said it better myself: