But lot's of people are refuting the claim, nevertheless.
Scare Headlines Exaggerated The U.S. Crime Wave: If you’ve read reports of a U.S. crime wave this year and wondered how many cities it was really affecting, you’re not alone.Which headlines are these?
In the Washington Post Radley Balko says:
At various times over the past 12 months, we heard dire predictions of a “nationwide crime wave”Have we?
According to Law Enforcement Leaders: "Some cities have seen a rise in murder, but these are isolated incidents — not a new crime wave — which local leaders are taking steps to address." Glad we set the record straight.
Mother Jones reassures us: "No 'Crime Wave'". They link to much cited Brennan Center report (much cited among lefties trying to say "everything is fine!" with regards to crime):
One year's increase does not necessarily portend a coming wave of violent crime.Indeed.
Ultimately, all the links about "crime wave" seem to go back to this one friggin' May headline for Heather Mac Donald piece in the Wall Street Journal. One. And Mac Donald never even said there was a "crime wave." She never uses the phrase. It's only in the headline.
[Headlines are weird things. They do become how a story is known. But do not judge an article (or the author) by a headline. Authors do not write the headlines; headline editors write headlines. Authors have no say in them. And sometimes -- and I speak from experience -- the headline does not begin to capture the point of your piece. Other times they get it right.]
This all came to mind because I was tweeted with my man, Andrew Papachristos, and the subject of "moral panic" came up with regards to the "crime wave":
Who is all this "they" hyping a "moral panic," I wondered.
@PeterMoskos not at all. Plenty to worry about & lots of work to do. But Moral panic shouldn't drive debate— Andrew Papachristos (@AVPapachristos) December 27, 2015
So I googled "'crime wave' 2015" and found only people saying, "don't believe the hype about the crime wave!" It's a classic straw man argument, making up an false position in order to refute it.
Best I can tell, the New York Times, the Washington Post, The Marshall Project, the Brennan Center, Mother Jones, NPR, even Fox News... they've all smugly refuted the "crime wave" claimed by nobody.
But in the meantime, let us ask why is crime sharply up in some cities and murders roughly 10 percent higher than 2014. That seems to be the touchy subject many are trying to avoid. Why? Some ideas in my previous post.